The Basketblog

Celebrating the love of the Game.

Tournament Teams and Seeds Predicted

This is more for my vanity than anything. I doubt anyone needs to see predictions a couple hours before the actual brackets come out. I just want to prove that I can pick these just as well as the “experts” and that Joe Lunardi and his bracketology are overhyped. I picked a decent amount more accurately than he did last year and am confidant I could do it every year. Why? Because he follows it the whole season and gets hung up on teams that have good starts. The selection committee waits until the end of the year and looks at the entire season. For example, they’re going to see how Indiana has struggled against bad teams lately and won’t put them as high as a 5-seed. With that said…

1-seeds
#1 North Carolina
#2 UCLA
#3 Memphis
#4 Tennessee

2-seeds
Georgetown
Texas
Wisconsin
Kansas

3-seeds
Stanford
Pittsburgh
Xavier
Duke

4-seeds
Washington State
Louisville
Drake
Vanderbilt

5-seeds
Butler
Clemson
Connecticut
Notre Dame

6-seeds
Marquette
Michigan State
Indiana
Purdue

7-seeds
USC
Oklahoma
West Virginia
Arkansas

8-seeds
BYU
UNLV
Gonzaga
Mississippi State

9-seeds
Texas A&M
Kent State
Davidson
Miami

10-seeds
Kansas State
Saint Mary’s
Arizona
Baylor

11-seeds
South Alabama
Temple
Saint Joseph’s
Kentucky

12-seeds
Illinois State
Villanova
Oral Roberts
Western Kentucky

13-seeds
San Diego
George Mason
Cornell
Georgia

14-seeds
Belmont
Boise State
Austin Peay
Siena

15-seeds
Maryland-Baltimore County
Portland State
Cal State Fullerton
Winthrop

16-seeds
Coppin State vs. Mississippi Valley State (play-in game)
Mount St. Mary’s
Texas Arlington
American

What happens if Illinois or Georgia or both win today? My last two teams in were Arizona State and Villanova. Illinois/Georgia would take either Arizona State’s seed or both their seeds if they win. Illinois would get the higher seed if they both win.

UPDATE: I’ve finalized some picks based on how later games have gone today.

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March 16, 2008 Posted by | ACC, Basketball, Big 12, Big East, Big Ten, CUSA, Horizon, MVC, MWC, NCAA, Pac-10, SEC, Sports, WAC | , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | Leave a comment

Championship Week Saturday

Which was the most crazy performance today?  Coppin State becoming the first 20-loss team to ever make the tournament?  Illinois being the first 10-seed to ever make it past the second round of the big ten tournament, let alone the championship game?  Georgia beating two tournament teams in one day to get to within one game of .500?  Or Boise State’s triple overtime defeat of New Mexico State?

Oh yeah, there were some other good games too…UNC vs. Virginia Tech…Wisconsin vs. Michigan St….Clemson vs. Duke…Kansas vs. Texas A&M…UCLA vs. Stanford…Temple vs. St. Joseph’s…Miss. Valley St. vs. Jackson St….  I know I’m repeating myself, but this March is already better than last March.  Now tomorrow we have a legitimate shot at Illinois and Georgia becoming the lowest-seeded “power conference” teams in the tournament ever and a Texas/Kansas game that would be great anyway but now has the added weight of a possible #1 seed to the winner.  Losses by Duke, Georgetown, and Tennessee in one day made that possibility happen.

Tomorrow’s games should be fantastic.  North Carolina is playing for a possible #1 overall, and Clemson is competing for perhaps a #3 seed.  Georgia and Illinois are playing for highly improbable tournament bids while Wisconsin and Arkansas seem to have little to gain and only want to avoid losing seeds.  The game of the day is, of course, Kansas and Texas.  I’m not convinced the winner gets a #1 seed, but there is a very good chance.

I’m working on some numbers tonight.  Tomorrow during the day I will post a complete prediction list of tournament teams and seeds.

March 15, 2008 Posted by | ACC, Big 12, Big East, Big Ten, NCAA, Pac-10, SEC, WAC | , , , , , , , , , , , , , | Leave a comment

Who played their way out today?

I expected to be blogging tonight about bubble teams losing and hurting their chances or about small-conference favorites losing and taking away a bubble spot. You know–the things that have been happening all week.

None of that happened today though. Arkansas and St. Joseph’s both won, basically ensuring they’ll be in. Virginia Tech and Temple won, keeping themselves alive. Kent State, Memphis, UNLV, and BYU all won, protecting the bubble.

That’s not to say today was any less exciting. Today was one of the most exciting days of basketball I’ve seen since…March of 2006. Tornadoes screwing up the SEC tournament, close games in all tournaments, great buzzer-beaters…even the Big Ten had exciting games after Wisconsin/Michigan ended.

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March 15, 2008 Posted by | Big 12, Big East, Big Ten, CUSA, NCAA, SEC | , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | Leave a comment

March 2008

I’m on spring break; the NCAA season is winding down. I think it’s time to bring back the basketblog.

Like last year, I plan to pick all 65 tournament teams and seeds and do so more accurately than the “experts.” I picked not only all the teams in last year but picked all their seeds. Both I did more accurately than Joe Lunardi, who is getting paid to do nothing but predict the brackets. If I do that again, what are the odds of someone paying me to do that? Right now we only differ on two teams so I don’t have much room to make up on him. He has Oregon in and Villanova out, I’d switch the two. I think the “mid majors” are weaker this year than they have been recently, so it’s basically going to be the best teams from the best conferences getting in. Not much room to differ.

I ought to be posting about every day there are games the rest of the month, especially this first week when I’m off school. Coming tonight: There are several big games tonight that will affect which bubble teams get into the tournament. I’ll give a full update on which teams helped themselves and which put themselves in jeopardy.

March 14, 2008 Posted by | NCAA | , , , , , , | Leave a comment

Basketball update

Well, there is lots to talk about. So much so that I’m not really sure where to begin with all of it. I will start with college basketball.

I have probably spent the least amount of time on college basketball as a whole as opposed to any of the other basketball things going on because of one simple fact: KU. After Late Night in the Phog, my love for that team has continually grown greater and greater. I see them winning a National Title and really nothing else matters. Sure I care about college basketball; I love it; but I love KU way more to put to much effort into finding out a great deal more about alot more teams. (somewhere around 364 others) I’m sure I will post a KU blog and another college basketblog *lawl*, but until then, you know my only desire for April is to see Kansas cutting down nets in San Antonio.

The NBA started this week. I thought it amusing and yet unsurprising that the Spurs bench managed to beat Portland (the only game I’ve seen so far). I haven’t decided on predictions except that as long as the Bulls keep Ben Wallace (interior D and rebounding) they make the NBA finals, with or without Kobe. With Kobe and Ben Wallace, they take a series to 7 against whoever they play, but I won’t say they win it. Kobe has vetoed all trade deals for him that would involve Luol Deng, so we have to assume that Wallace or Thomas/Noah are gonna be involved in a trade. I hope that Noah goes, I really really hate him. Yes, Von, he is a sasquatch. As for predictions and other NBA things, those are later. Time to move on.

CBA’s basketball team started this week also. (I love Halloween. Not for candy, or stupid costumes, or anything like that, but it means its basketball season, baby!) I like what I’ve seen out of the first few workouts. I think the entire team is hard working as a whole. I’ve seen HUGE improvement in some players, and steps towards improvement in others; but what I really like, and this could just be because its the beginning of the year, is that everyone seems to really want to learn. They want to get better, which makes our job much much easier! Its impossible to teach someone who doesn’t want to learn, but when people are tying to get better, they will. It might take awhile, but they will. I think this team could be really good and maybe even great, but we’ve only had 1 1/2 practice. They have a tournament next Thursday, Friday, and Saturday. We will know alot more by then.

Thats a quick update on my basketball world. When I decide on predictions for the NBA season and college basketball, I will let you all know.

I love this game!

November 1, 2007 Posted by | Big 12, Calvary Baptist, Chicago Bulls, High School, LA Lakers, NCAA, Portland Trail Blazers, San Antonio Spurs | , , | 1 Comment

NBA Season Preview

I had to wait a day to post this preview. I had to see for sure whether the Spurs are actually better than the Trail Blazers. Turns out, they are.

In fact, nearly all logic tells me that the Spurs are once again the best team in the league and will win the championship. Only I’m not going to pick them. I’m going to pick Phoenix. San Antonio might be the best team with the best coach, but they’re not going to have the fire that Phoenix will this year. Think about it: Steve Nash and Grant Hill both know they’re on the down side of their careers and may not have another chance. They’ve already talked about trading Amare Stoudemire or Shawn Marion; this might be the last year their core group is together. I think Stoudemire will be improved, and the veterans will not let them lose. They will upset the Spurs in the playoffs even though they’ll be the higher seed.

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October 31, 2007 Posted by | Atlanta Hawks, Big Ten, Boston Celtics, Chicago Bulls, Cleveland Cavaliers, Dallas Mavericks, Denver Nuggets, Detroit Pistons, Houston Rockets, LA Lakers, NBA, New Jersey Nets, Orlando Magic, Phoenix Suns, Portland Trail Blazers, San Antonio Spurs, Seattle Supersonics, Toronto Raptors, Utah Jazz, Washington Wizards | , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | Leave a comment

NBA Officials

If there’s anything to bring me back from a long hiatus, it’s a good scandal. Or, in this case, a very bad one.

I’m a little late on this one, so I have no new opinions to share with you. Read these articles. My first thought when I heard the news was, “Heh, that’s not surprising.” Then, like the articles mention, I started wondering who it was. There was no surprise for me. I thought maybe I was just cynical because I played and now semi-coach in a league with poor officials. Surely most NBA fans trusted their officials. After all, they’re the best officials in the world, right?

Maybe not. Maybe I was right in calling the NBA the “most corrupt professional sports league” (in the US anyway) . So what if baseball and football allow their players to cheat? At least of both teams are cheating, neither has an advantage. When the officials cheat, one team gets a clear advantage and the league becomes corrupt. When the officials are bad, one team tends to get an advantage and the league becomes corrupt. I’ve seen high school games decided by the refs before, but I always thought maybe I was imagining that in the NBA some teams could be advantaged by the officials.

Another article to read. I was stunned to find that I never posted anything about Game 3 of the Suns/Spurs series. If I recall correctly, I was actually too ticked off at the time to write anything about it. That article mentions that the worst no-call was not Donaghy’s fault, but it fails to mention that the worst call was made by Donaghy. Remember the foul drawn by Ginobili that was called a couple seconds late by the official in the worst position? I remember complaining loudly (to myself) that someone else should have overruled him on it. There are already a ton of videos on Youtube claiming to be proof that Donaghy bet on some particular game, and most of them are probably crap. This one, however, is worth a look (note, however, that not all the calls were made by Donaghy):

I’m somewhat of a Suns fan myself, so I can guess how they feel about this. They could argue that they were legitimately screwed in Game 5, they were screwed by Nash’s injury in Game 1, and now they can argue that they were screwed in Game 3 as well. A win in any of those games, and the series would have gone to Game 7 in Phoenix. Even if it’s never proven whether he bet on this game, this situation is bad for Phoenix and bad for the NBA. I know I’m going to question the officials every time there’s a questionable game, and now I know I won’t be the only one.

July 25, 2007 Posted by | NBA, Phoenix Suns, San Antonio Spurs | , , , , , , , | Leave a comment

Kansas Basketball pre-blog

Before college basketball starts, I would like to first let everyone now….er..let von (the only other reader) know that I will not make any predictions for the 2007-2008 college basketball season save one: Kansas wins the National Championship. I need not explain it, because I just have to many reasons that they will. By the same token, there are nearly that many reasons why they won’t. but dont try to argue with me, you will not change my mind, and if I begin to discuss it, I will get worked up about it. Now, I said all that to say this….

My college basketblogs will consist of: Game previews, Game recaps, single game predictions on games involving two teams whose names are not the Kansas Jayhawks. I will probably make game recaps about KU games in which case when they lose, I will probably be very hard on them, and when they win I will probably brag on them equally. Sometimes I feel like I know them and know each of the potentials (obviously not true) and when they don’t play up to that potential I get angry!! That being said, for those of you who hate listening to me talk about KU, you’ll probably want to steer clear of all KU columns; but to those of you who love it (don’t think such a person exists) you will enjoy them all.

In closing, college basketball will be here before we know it, and soon comes the day when Kansas hoists the National Championship trophy in San Antonio. Let us all enjoy the wonderful game of basketball in its most enjoyable form!

July 10, 2007 Posted by | Big 12, NCAA | | Leave a comment

I’d like to issue a public apology

To the San Antonio Spurs. When I picked the Nuggets to knock you out, I did not realize that you were the best team in the league. I did not realize that you were great at all of the following:

Inside defense
Perimeter defense
Inside scoring
Perimeter scoring
Team defense
Passing
Hustle plays

I also did not realize that your point guard would be #3 in the playoffs in points in the paint, that your power forward would be #2, and that your coach could outcoach anyone in the league in his sleep right now. You’re well on your way to beating four of the hottest teams in the league without going to seven games in any of the four series.

Maybe you needed a little luck in getting Amare and Borris suspended for a game, but you were still 3-2 in games that those two played. Carmelo and Allen? Carlos and Deron? Tim and Tony are better than either combo, and their supporting cast is far greater.

It took me three series, but I finally caught on. If the great duos of the Jazz and Nuggets couldn’t touch you, and the great trio of the Suns couldn’t touch you, how is Cleveland’s one-man team going to win a game against you? They won’t.

June 10, 2007 Posted by | Cleveland Cavaliers, Denver Nuggets, Phoenix Suns, San Antonio Spurs, Utah Jazz | , , , , , , , , , , , , , | Leave a comment

About the top-two picks going to the Northwest

I’m going to break my fast from posting for this. Ironically, I’ve been in Seattle and Portland the last few days.

At first I agreed with the thoughts that having Oden and Durant both going to the Northwest would be bad for the league because of the time difference. But as I thought about it, I don’t think that will be the case.

Does anyone ever complain that it’s bad for the league that Phoenix games start late? The Lakers are one of the glamorous teams in the league, but they play in the Pacific Time Zone. Golden State was the great story of the playoffs, but they play in the Pacific Time Zone. A few years ago the Sacramento Kings were the most fun team in the league to watch, but they were in the Pacific Time Zone. There has been talk of moving a franchise to Las Vegas, which is in the Pacific Time Zone. Why does the Pacific Time Zone not matter in any of those cases? Perhaps the reason that the biggest NBA markets are in the East is that the tv schedule favors them. Maybe the West will become so stacked that the NBA will change the schedule, which will in turn make the Western teams more popular. Maybe the Western teams aren’t as good for tv ratings, but the Kings, Warriors, Jazz, Suns, and Mavericks (in the Central Time Zone, but stick with me) have some of the best fans in the league. I think that giving the best players to the best fans will help the league more than giving the best players to the biggest markets.

May 24, 2007 Posted by | Golden State Warriors, LA Lakers, NBA, Phoenix Suns, Portland Trail Blazers, Sacramento Kings, Seattle Supersonics | , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | 1 Comment